Erling Haaland's career Premier League stats show 85 goals in 97 appearances, averaging 0.88 goals per game. His non-penalty expected goals (npxG) per 90 minutes in 2024/25 was 0.68, placing him in the top 99th percentile of Premier League players, with a shooting accuracy of 64.84% and a goal every 4.14 shots.
Since Joining the Premier League
2022/23 Season: Haaland set a Premier League record by scoring 36 goals in 35 appearances, showcasing his ability to dominate in his debut season.
2023/24 Season: He scored 27 goals in the Premier League, maintaining an impressive output despite a slight dip.
2024/25 Season: Haaland scored 22 goals in 31 matches, finishing third in the Golden Boot race behind Mohamed Salah (29 goals) and Alexander Isak (23 goals). His season started explosively with 10 goals in the first five rounds, including two hat-tricks, but a December slump and fewer penalties (only four for City) impacted his total.
The Prediction
Considering Haaland’s historical goal-per-game ratio (0.88), his elite underlying stats, and Manchester City’s strengthened squad, he is likely to rebound from his 2024/25 season. Assuming he plays 35-38 matches and benefits from improved creativity and more penalties, Haaland could realistically target 30-35 goals. His ability to score in bursts (e.g., two hat-tricks in three games in 2024/25) supports this range.
Erling Haaland will score 32 goals in the 2025/26 Premier League season, assuming he remains fit and City’s new signings enhance their attacking output. This accounts for his proven scoring prowess, potential tactical improvements, and motivation to reclaim the Golden Boot, though falling short of his record-breaking 36-goal season due to increased competition and defensive adjustments by opponents.
